The ACS Blog

The Good, the Bad, and the Lucky

How would you know if a company is worth investing in? How would you know if a business is likely to be profitable and long-lived? Make a list of the characteristics that you believe would separate good businesses from bad…

Bathtubs

You have a bathtub in your house. It’s filling up with water. How many ways can you imagine to stop it from overflowing?

Otherwise

Ceteris paribus isn’t easy. It’s the gold standard we use in double-blind clinical trials of drugs and medical treatments, but the business equivalent of clinical trials is difficult at best.

Counterpoints

There may be wisdom in crowds and safety in numbers, but there’s not much inspiration in a herd or thought in groupthink.

The Market Leader, and Other Ambiguities and Distortions

We don’t purposely create anchors any more than we purposely cause any kind of trouble for ourselves. Anchors are common and unconscious because they come from being human. So, short of renouncing our humanity, how can we reduce their prevalence?

Exalted Numbers

One number stands out even in that exalted company. It is a number that we fear and venerate. It is a number that is fluid and then becomes stone. It is a number that defines the limits of what’s possible. That number is the budget.

I Didn’t Know You Could Do That

The best insights often come from surprises, and the best surprises often come from simulations. Here we’ll talk about surprises in both business and crisis simulations, and actionable insights.

There But For a Fortune

Steven Shore and Barry Prevor aren’t so different from you and me. They showed guts and commitment, and they succeeded for a long time, and they may continue to succeed. And they, like us, are vulnerable. The question is, vulnerable to what?

Believable Predictions

No one could predict cheap fuel would end this Thursday or two Wednesdays ago or a week from Friday. Almost anyone could predict that the ride would end eventually.

Resisting Change

As human beings we are all familiar with the dig-in-our-heels sensation of resisting change. How do we know in which changes we ought to invest our time and treasure?