numeracy

Innovative, powerful, proven approaches to business war games, strategy simulation, and strategic thinking

The Track-Record Fallacy

How do we know when someone is skillful at competing? The thing is, it’s hard to tell the difference between luck and skill…

Death by Shark

Your odds of dying as the result of an unprovoked shark attack are roughly 1 in 300,000,000 in the USA. The odds are more than 20 times higher in Australia. Therefore, if you don’t want to be killed by a shark, you should flee Australia immediately for the USA. It’s safer here, except maybe for the gun thing.